The Egypt Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Egypt. The Egypt Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Egyptian market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Egypt and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

Key Uses

Forecast the pace and stability of Egypt’s economic and industry growth through end-2012
Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Egypt, to facilitate risk mitigation strategies
Assess critical shortcomings of Egypt’s business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
Contextualise Egypt’s country risks against Middle East & Africa regional peers using It’s country comparative risk ratings system
Target business opportunities in Egypt’s high-growth industry sectors
Evaluate external threats to doing business in Egypt, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies
Egypt’s Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Egypt over the next 5 years?

It’s Egypt Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Egypt Political Outlook Contents

SWOT Analysis for the Egyptian Market
Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Egypt.
Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Egypt
It’s Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Egypt’s risk are compared with Middle East & Africa regional and global averages.
Current Administration and Policy-making in Egypt
It profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Egyptian government, assessing threats to the continuity of Egyptian economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2011.
Egyptian Foreign Policy
It examines key trends and shifts in Egypt’s foreign relations and alignments with Middle East & Africa neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.
Key Benefits

Benchmark Egypt’s risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Egypt, and to your company’s current operations and future plans.
Gain valuable insights into the Egyptian government and policy-making, through It’s specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.
Egypt’s Economic Outlook:

How will Egyptian economic policy-making and performance impact corporate profitability over 2008-12?

It provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Egypt through end-2012 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Egyptian growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Egypt Economic Outlook Contents

The Egypt Business Forecast Report features explicit It economic forecasts for Egypt, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2008, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 set against Egyptian government views. Underpinning our China forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2012, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Egypt

Economic Activity in Egypt
Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
Fiscal Policy in Egypt
Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
Monetary Policy in Egypt
Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in Egypt; Egyptian currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
Balance of Payments in Egypt
Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
Foreign Direct Investment in Egypt
Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
Egyptian External Debt
Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)
Key Benefits

Rely upon It’s 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Egypt and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
Exploit the benefits of It’s comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic Egypt database, sourced and fully maintained by It from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Egyptian government economic policy
Egypt Business Environment:

How internationally competitive is Egypt’s regulatory environment, and what changes can be expected?

It assesses levels of transparency, flexibility of labour market, tax burden, development of the banking sector and credit availability, infrastructure and IT,foreign investment regime and trade liberalisation in Egypt.

Egypt Business Environment Contents

Egypt’s Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
Short and long-term business environment risk ratings for Egypt, benchmarked against ratings for Middle East & Africa neighbouring countries.
Country Competitiveness for Egypt
Competitiveness of Egypt’s business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.
Coverage of Key Business Environment Issues in Egypt’s Domestic Environment

Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT
Foreign Direct Investment in Egypt
Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
Foreign Trade with Egypt
Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas
Coverage of Egypt’s Key Industry Sectors - Egyptian Market Overview

Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business environment
Latest Developments in Egypt
Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions, and implications for sector performance; company rankings for national and multinational companies in Egypt; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
5-year Industry Forecast for Egypt
Historic dataset (2003-2007) and It forecasts through end-2012, covering headline industry data broken out by sub sector
Key Benefits

Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Egypt’s high growth industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business opportunities.
Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational companies operating in Egypt’s major industry sectors, including analysis of recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product launches and latest deals.

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